One of our readers recently asked whether it was good practice to “roll over” unspent budgeted 2020 travel and entertainment expenses to 2021 or later future years, as long as one does not “double dip” by also counting these unspent amounts as accumulated savings when determining recurring spending budgets. Since this is likely to be a common situation for many of us retirees this year (other than Bobbie, who managed to travel to England early this year), we will address this question in this post.
Developing and maintaining a robust financial plan in retirement is a classic actuarial problem involving the time-value of money and life contingencies. This problem is easily solved with basic actuarial principles, including periodic comparisons of household assets and spending liabilities.
Monday, August 24, 2020
Sunday, August 16, 2020
We’ve Changed the Default Assumptions for the Actuarial Budget Calculators
The Default Assumptions we build into our Actuarial Budget Calculators (ABCs) are intended to be consistent with assumptions used by insurance companies in the pricing of inflation-indexed life annuities. Since fully inflation-indexed annuities are no longer issued by U.S. insurance companies, selecting these assumptions has become more of a theoretical exercise. However, we do have data on fixed income single premium life annuities and other sources to guide us to some degree.
Monday, August 10, 2020
Can You Afford to Retire?
In these uncertain times, it is natural (for Baby Boomers anyway) to wonder whether retirement or partial retirement may be financially viable. We have seen several articles discussing how much savings may be necessary to enjoy a “comfortable” retirement. In this post, we remind our readers that with the help of one of our Actuarial Budget Calculators for retirees (Single or Couples), and just a little bit of number crunching, you can derive a pretty good idea of how much you may need. We point you to our post of August 25, 2019, “Is $1 Million of Savings Enough?” for a step-by-step example of the approach we recommend.
Sunday, August 2, 2020
Actuaries Discuss Retirement Budgeting Approaches
Thursday, July 23, 2020
How to Fix Advisor Retirement Planning Models
| After posting, we received the following comment on this post from David Blanchett: “While it's true some financial planning tools don't do the things you list, I wouldn't ascribe the problem to Monte Carlo models... since there are few, if any, limitations for Monte Carlo simulations. Therefore, you might want to change the header to something like "Common Financial Planning Problems" to reflect the fact it's not the model itself (Monte Carlo), rather the tools that have been built using the model that aren't as good as they could be (or likely will be as they evolve)!” We thank Mr. Blanchett for his constructive feedback and agree with him, but we point out that these problems are much more easily fixed in our deterministic actuarial models than in the Monte Carlo models typically used today by financial advisors. |
Tuesday, July 21, 2020
Be Empowered to Own Your Own Retirement
“Before addressing the legitimate assumptions tied to retirement planning, the advisor should first help create and tell a story for the retiree to show the bigger picture. An approach to drawing down retirement income should be laid out in order to see how true that story feels to the owner. If the story fits, the retirement plan has a better chance of blending with that retiree’s style.”In this post, we will push back on Mr. Parrish’s premise that retirees need to be told stories about draw-down strategies as a first step in developing a plan for retirement, and we will propose following our Recommended Retirement Planning Process as a better alternative.