According to many of the talking heads at Fox and other conservative media sources, a huge factor in selecting who to vote for in the upcoming presidential election is whether you are better or worse off financially than you were at the beginning of the Biden/Harris term. While we don’t believe that this comparison should be anywhere as important in your decision process as suggested by members of the conservative media, let’s take a look at the math involved in answering this question so that you can estimate the change in your own financial status rather than simply focusing on how much prices on certain items have increased since January 1, 2021.
Developing and maintaining a robust financial plan in retirement is a classic actuarial problem involving the time-value of money and life contingencies. This problem is easily solved with basic actuarial principles, including periodic comparisons of household assets and spending liabilities.
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In this website, we encourage retired households to periodically (generally annually) compare the present value of their assets with the present value of their spending liabilities to determine a snapshot Funded Status. We also promote monitoring the household Funded Status over time to see whether adjustments in assets or spending liabilities may be necessary or appropriate to keep spending in retirement on track and consistent with spending goals.
As discussed many times in this website, this is the same process that is used by actuaries to measure and monitor funding progress for many other financial systems, including defined benefit pension plans and Social Security. If a system’s Funded Status (Assets/Liabilities) is significantly in excess of 100% and exhibits a pattern of increasing over time, it may be reasonable to decrease system assets and/or increase system liabilities to avoid over-funding. On the other hand, if a system’s Funded Status is less than 100% and has exhibited a pattern of decreasing over time, actions should be taken to bring the system’s Funded Status back up to at least 100% to ensure long-term system sustainability.