Last week, the American Academy of Actuaries (AAA) released An Actuarial Perspective on the 2024 Social Security Trustees Report. This Issue Brief was released about six months after the release of the brief covering the 2023 Trustees Report that we discussed in our post of January 20, 2024.
Like the previous issue brief, the 2024 brief includes a shaded [added emphasis] area entitled, “Why Didn’t the 1983 Social Security Reform Work Out as Expected?” These briefs imply that, for the most part, the shortfall since 1983 resulted primarily from economic factors, including the growth of taxable payroll falling below expectations and lower than expected portfolio returns.